{"id":5225,"date":"2023-07-17T11:34:23","date_gmt":"2023-07-17T09:34:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/retrospective-des-placements-2e-trimestre-2023\/"},"modified":"2024-10-04T20:35:50","modified_gmt":"2024-10-04T18:35:50","slug":"retrospective-des-placements-2e-trimestre-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/retrospective-des-placements-2e-trimestre-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"R\u00e9trospective des placements, 2e trimestre 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3539,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5225","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-placements"],"yoast_head":"\nR\u00e9trospective des placements, 2e trimestre 2023 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globalement satisfaisante au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre 2023. Port\u00e9e par une hausse des cours sur les places boursi\u00e8res, en particulier aux Etats-Unis, la performance globale se r\u00e9v\u00e8le favorable. Le bras de fer autour des n\u00e9gociations sur le plafond de la dette publique am\u00e9ricaine, l\u2019inflation et l\u2019exercice d\u2019\u00e9quilibriste des banques centrales pour tenter de redresser la situation \u00e9conomique actuelle: voil\u00e0 les principaux th\u00e8mes qui ont rythm\u00e9 les march\u00e9s au d\u00e9but du trimestre. Les mesures mises en place pour juguler l\u2019inflation n\u2019\u00e9tant visiblement pas suffisantes, les principales banques centrales ont presque toutes d\u00e9cid\u00e9 de revoir une nouvelle fois leurs taux directeurs \u00e0 la hausse et envisagent de nouveaux mouvements sur les taux dans les mois \u00e0 venir. En juin, la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale am\u00e9ricaine a marqu\u00e9 une pause dans le cycle de rel\u00e8vement des taux en laissant son taux directeur inchang\u00e9. L\u2019inflation sous-jacente en particulier, qui exclut les prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie et des denr\u00e9es alimentaires, s\u2019est maintenue \u00e0 un niveau r\u00e9solument \u00e9lev\u00e9. Cette situation pourrait s\u2019expliquer par l\u2019\u00e9tonnante r\u00e9silience de l\u2019\u00e9conomie observ\u00e9e jusqu\u2019\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent et par la tension persistante sur le march\u00e9 de l\u2019emploi. La hausse des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat va se poursuivre, entra\u00eenant la mise en \u0153uvre d\u2019une politique mon\u00e9taire encore plus restrictive et des risques accrus de ralentissement de l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale. De nombreux indicateurs avanc\u00e9s et indicateurs de tendance montrent d\u2019ores et d\u00e9j\u00e0 que cette \u00e9volution \u00e0 la baisse va se poursuivre. Les Etats-Unis comme l\u2019Europe doivent donc s\u2019attendre \u00e0 une p\u00e9riode de r\u00e9cession."},{"acf_fc_layout":"element-title","status":false,"title":"March\u00e9s boursiers","title_type":"h4"},{"acf_fc_layout":"element-text","status":false,"group":null,"text_size":"normal","text":"Nos principaux march\u00e9s boursiers ont tous connu une \u00e9volution favorable au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre, malgr\u00e9 de profondes disparit\u00e9s r\u00e9gionales. C\u2019est le march\u00e9 am\u00e9ricain qui affiche la progression la plus forte. Alors que l\u2019on commen\u00e7ait \u00e0 entrevoir la fin prochaine de la hausse des taux directeurs dans une conjoncture \u00e9tonnamment robuste, les cours se sont clairement envol\u00e9s vers la mi-juin, en particulier pour certains poids lourds de l\u2019indice dans le secteur des technologies. L\u2019indice (MSCI USA) a cl\u00f4tur\u00e9 le trimestre en hausse de 8.6% (en USD). L\u2019Europe et la Suisse ont connu une \u00e9volution par vagues. A la fin du trimestre, le march\u00e9 suisse (SPI) a enregistr\u00e9 une progression de 2.2% tandis que le march\u00e9 europ\u00e9en (MSCI Europe Ex Switzerland) a grimp\u00e9 de 2.1% (en EUR). Les actions des pays \u00e9mergents n\u2019ont pas pu rivaliser. L\u2019augmentation n\u2019atteint que 1% (en USD) au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre."},{"acf_fc_layout":"element-title","status":false,"title":"Taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat","title_type":"h4"},{"acf_fc_layout":"element-text","status":false,"group":null,"text_size":"normal","text":"L\u2019\u00e9volution des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat aussi \u00e9tait variable d\u2019une r\u00e9gion \u00e0 l\u2019autre. Les rendements des bons du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain \u00e0 10 ans sont pass\u00e9s de 3.47% \u00e0 3.84%, soit pr\u00e8s de 40 pb de plus qu\u2019au trimestre pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent. La courbe des taux am\u00e9ricains a par ailleurs op\u00e9r\u00e9 un changement impressionnant, puisqu\u2019elle s\u2019est clairement invers\u00e9e. A la fin du mois de juin, l\u2019\u00e9cart entre les obligations \u00e0 2 et \u00e0 10 ans d\u00e9passait 1%, signe qu\u2019une r\u00e9cession se profile. Les taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat ont aussi grimp\u00e9 dans la zone euro, mais dans une moindre mesure. La Suisse a connu une \u00e9volution toute autre. Les rendements des obligations de la Conf\u00e9d\u00e9ration \u00e0 10 ans sont pass\u00e9s de presque 1.15% \u00e0 0.88%, ce qui a permis de d\u00e9gager une performance positive pour les obligations suisses."},{"acf_fc_layout":"element-title","status":false,"title":"Devises","title_type":"h4"},{"acf_fc_layout":"element-text","status":false,"group":null,"text_size":"normal","text":"Zout au long du premier semestre, le franc suisse comptait \u00e0 nouveau parmi les devises les plus fortes, ce qui a eu des effets n\u00e9gatifs sur nos placements en dollars am\u00e9ricains et en euros. La cotation de la paire USD|CHF a diminu\u00e9, passant de 0.9153 \u00e0 0.8956, tout comme le taux de change EUR|CHF, qui lui a recul\u00e9 de 0.9921 \u00e0 0.9769."}]},"publishpress_future_action":{"enabled":false,"date":"2026-04-25 22:14:54","action":"change-status","newStatus":"draft","terms":[],"taxonomy":"category"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5225"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5225"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5225\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8052,"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5225\/revisions\/8052"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/media\/3539"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5225"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5225"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5225"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}