{"id":5199,"date":"2024-01-05T11:33:48","date_gmt":"2024-01-05T09:33:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/retrospective-des-placements-4e-trimestre-2023\/"},"modified":"2024-10-04T20:21:39","modified_gmt":"2024-10-04T18:21:39","slug":"retrospective-des-placements-4e-trimestre-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/retrospective-des-placements-4e-trimestre-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"R\u00e9trospective des placements, 4e trimestre 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3539,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5199","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-placements"],"yoast_head":"\nR\u00e9trospective des placements, 4e trimestre 2023 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troisi\u00e8me trimestre 2023 s\u2019explique autant par l\u2019\u00e9volution des actions que celle des obligations. Apr\u00e8s un troisi\u00e8me trimestre en demi-teinte et un mois d\u2019octobre incontestablement n\u00e9gatif, le vent a enfin tourn\u00e9 en novembre. La baisse des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat obligataires aux \u00c9tats-Unis, qui a incarn\u00e9 l\u2019espoir d\u2019un abaissement des taux par les banques centrales, a \u00e9t\u00e9 le principal facteur de l\u2019embellie. En Europe, les indicateurs conjoncturels se sont r\u00e9v\u00e9l\u00e9s l\u00e9g\u00e8rement meilleurs que pr\u00e9vu et, aux \u00c9tats-Unis, l\u2019\u00e9conomie locale a d\u00e9jou\u00e9 les attentes en continuant \u00e0 se maintenir nettement mieux qu\u2019escompt\u00e9. L\u2019inflation aux \u00c9tats-Unis a aussi marqu\u00e9 le pas pour s\u2019\u00e9tablir \u00e0 un niveau inf\u00e9rieur aux valeurs attendues. Tout portait ainsi \u00e0 croire \u00e0 la d\u00e9sinflation parfaite ou au sc\u00e9nario des \u00abGoldilocks\u00bb, ces \u00abboucles d\u2019or\u00bb qui font r\u00e9f\u00e9rence \u00e0 une situation optimale combinant croissance continue et inflation ma\u00eetris\u00e9e. R\u00e9sultat: un grand soulagement sur les march\u00e9s financiers et un regain d\u2019optimisme de la part des investisseurs. \u00c0 l\u2019issue de sa derni\u00e8re r\u00e9union de 2023, la banque f\u00e9d\u00e9rale am\u00e9ricaine (FED) a annonc\u00e9 un possible abaissement des taux en 2024 \u00e0 la faveur du recul de l\u2019inflation et laiss\u00e9 entrevoir trois paliers successifs. Les march\u00e9s financiers, quant \u00e0 eux, anticipent plusieurs baisses des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat, ce qui stimule le cours des actions. C\u2019est dire l\u2019espoir que suscite une telle baisse des taux sur les march\u00e9s boursiers. Au troisi\u00e8me trimestre, le dollar am\u00e9ricain s\u2019est nettement d\u00e9pr\u00e9ci\u00e9 par rapport \u00e0 la plupart des devises, notamment en raison de l\u2019anticipation d\u2019une baisse des taux encore renforc\u00e9e par les diff\u00e9rents commentaires des gouverneurs de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale."},{"acf_fc_layout":"element-title","status":false,"title":"March\u00e9s boursiers","title_type":"h4"},{"acf_fc_layout":"element-text","status":false,"group":null,"text_size":"normal","text":"Apr\u00e8s la chute des cours au mois d\u2019octobre, les march\u00e9s boursiers se sont engag\u00e9s, d\u00e9but novembre, dans une phase de redressement qui s\u2019est poursuivie jusqu\u2019\u00e0 la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e. Au troisi\u00e8me trimestre, le march\u00e9 boursier am\u00e9ricain (SP500) a progress\u00e9 de 11,7% en USD et les march\u00e9s boursiers europ\u00e9ens (MSCI, Europe ex., CH) de 6,6% en EUR. Une fois de plus, le march\u00e9 boursier suisse (SPI) est rest\u00e9 \u00e0 la tra\u00eene des march\u00e9s mondiaux avec une augmentation de 1,4%. Malheureusement, l\u2019\u00e9volution des devises a largement p\u00e9nalis\u00e9 les investisseurs suisses que nous sommes. Le francs suisse s\u2019\u00e9tant fortement appr\u00e9ci\u00e9 par rapport au dollar am\u00e9ricain et \u00e0 l\u2019euro, la performance du march\u00e9 am\u00e9ricain n\u2019est que de 2,5% en CHF et celle du march\u00e9 europ\u00e9en de 2,3%. L\u2019\u00e9volution des actions des pays \u00e9mergents a \u00e9t\u00e9 encore plus marqu\u00e9e. L\u2019indice de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence MSCI EMMA a progress\u00e9 de 7,9% en USD, tandis qu\u2019il affichait une perte de 1% en CHF."},{"acf_fc_layout":"element-title","status":false,"title":"Taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat","title_type":"h4"},{"acf_fc_layout":"element-text","status":false,"group":null,"text_size":"normal","text":"Apr\u00e8s un d\u00e9but de trimestre marqu\u00e9 par une faiblesse record des march\u00e9s obligataires mondiaux, la situation s\u2019est \u00e9galement invers\u00e9e. Les march\u00e9s obligataires am\u00e9ricains ne semblaient pas pouvoir \u00e9chapper, pour la troisi\u00e8me ann\u00e9e cons\u00e9cutive, \u00e0 un rendement n\u00e9gatif. En novembre, les bons du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain \u00e0 long terme ont toutefois augment\u00e9 de 10%, une hausse pratiquement aussi forte que celle du Nasdaq, l\u2019indice des valeurs technologiques am\u00e9ricaines. En octobre, un rendement de 5% a pu \u00eatre fix\u00e9 pour les emprunts d\u2019\u00c9tat am\u00e9ricain \u00e0 10 ans. Les rendements des emprunts de la Conf\u00e9d\u00e9ration suisse \u00e0 10 ans sont de nouveau nettement inf\u00e9rieurs \u00e0 1%, apr\u00e8s avoir atteint pratiquement 1,2% au d\u00e9but du mois de novembre. La courbe des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat suisses est fortement invers\u00e9e, ce qui est plut\u00f4t de mauvais augure pour la croissance \u00e9conomique future.\r\n<h4><\/h4>"},{"acf_fc_layout":"element-title","status":false,"title":"Devises","title_type":"h4"},{"acf_fc_layout":"element-text","status":false,"group":null,"text_size":"normal","text":"Au quatri\u00e8me trimestre, le franc suisse s\u2019est fortement appr\u00e9ci\u00e9 par rapport au dollar am\u00e9ricain et \u00e0 l\u2019euro. La paire USD\/CHF a recul\u00e9 de 0,9153 \u00e0 0,8414 et le taux de change EUR\/CHF de 0,9676 \u00e0 0,9289, ce qui a terni les r\u00e9sultats de nos placements en USD et en EUR."}]},"publishpress_future_action":{"enabled":false,"date":"2026-04-25 22:18:02","action":"change-status","newStatus":"draft","terms":[],"taxonomy":"category"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5199"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5199"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5199\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7921,"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5199\/revisions\/7921"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/media\/3539"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5199"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5199"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/previs.previewlink.ch\/fr\/api\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5199"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}